Week 16 Early Plays

[thecruncher]

2Team 7.5 Point Teaser -- 2 Units
Cardinals+14.5/Panthers+10.5

McCown back at QB provides stability for the AZ offense. Seattle weak, Hasslebeck dinged up again, I can't see them laying 7 points to anyone. Still, this line has had a little action on Seattle at Pinny so far, so I'm going to wait a little bit on the straight bet and see where that line heads, though I don't see it moving off of 7 to 7.5.

Car/TB game I've got at about a pick. Both teams coming off of demoralizing losses, but Carolina has dealt well with adversity since adjusting to the loss of their offensive weapons.

1 Unit Plays

Carolina +3
Redskins -1
Bears/Lions Under 37

 

[ElIguana]

Lookin good, Cruncher....I'm still worried about MNF and bowl games, not as organized as you! GL

 

[thecruncher]

Add for 1 Unit each:

Indy/SD Over 57
Lions -5.5
Ravens +5.5
Broncos -3.5

 

[thecruncher]

Add -- 2 Units Bills/49ers Under 44

Average ppg total, Bills = 41.3, 49ers = 45.4

Total defensive and special team TD's in games played, Bills = 11, 49ers = 8, NFL average = 6.3. You can't count on the defensive and special team td's to keep coming in every week, but even if you did, averaging the 2 teams ppgs would equal 43.35 points.

Average yards per game, Bills = 284.5, 49ers = 291.3, NFL average = 328.1. Allowed per game, Bills = 269.1, 49ers =
331.1.

The Bills have averaged 37.6 point in their last 5 games while averaging less than 200 yards ppg in these contests.

The linesmakers are overcompensating for the false big numbers the Bills have been putting up, as the public has been hitting the Over in their games.

The strength of the Bills is still their defense, and I don't think the 49ers have any real strengths. I'm betting the numbers here and hoping that there aren't too many ridiculous plays to send this one Over (Like last week's 147 yards of int. returns to put the total over by 5).

Bills 22, 49er 14. (I think the Bills at +11 is inflated, too!)

 

[thecruncher]

Add for 1 Unit -- Den/Ten Under 51.5 (MyBookie.com)

Betting Tennessee for anything but the Over anymore is probably idiotic, lol, but we'll see!

 

[thecruncher]

Add for 1 Unit each

Miami/Cleveland Under 41
Jets +2
Eagles +3

 

[ACE-ACE]

Add -- 2 Units Bills/49ers Under 44

Average ppg total, Bills = 41.3, 49ers = 45.4

Total defensive and special team TD's in games played, Bills = 11, 49ers = 8, NFL average = 6.3. You can't count on the defensive and special team td's to keep coming in every week, but even if you did, averaging the 2 teams ppgs would equal 43.35 points.

Average yards per game, Bills = 284.5, 49ers = 291.3, NFL average = 328.1. Allowed per game, Bills = 269.1, 49ers =
331.1.

The Bills have averaged 37.6 point in their last 5 games while averaging less than 200 yards ppg in these contests.

The linesmakers are overcompensating for the false big numbers the Bills have been putting up, as the public has been hitting the Over in their games.

The strength of the Bills is still their defense, and I don't think the 49ers have any real strengths. I'm betting the numbers here and hoping that there aren't too many ridiculous plays to send this one Over (Like last week's 147 yards of int. returns to put the total over by 5).

Bills 22, 49er 14. (I think the Bills at +11 is inflated, too!)

PLUS BUF PLAYING THE 2ND WEEK ON THE ROAD....THAT WILL KEEP THE SCORE DOWN......